Oil shock widens inflation gap between emerging and developed markets

The oil shock from six weeks of U.S.-Iran war drives consumer prices higher in advanced economies, while much of the developing world stays sheltered, widening inflation divergence and reshaping global bond outlooks. Heading into 2026, emerging market inflation stabilized near central bank targets, backed by high real rates and strong currencies.......

US naval blockade of Iranian ports takes effect after failed talks

The United States Central Command began enforcing a naval blockade on all maritime traffic to and from Iranian ports on Monday at 10 a.m. Eastern Time, following the collapse of negotiations between US and Iranian officials in Islamabad. The move came hours after nearly 21 hours of talks between US Vice President J.D. Vance and Iranian representatives......

US denies agreement to unfreeze Iranian assets as peace talks begin in Islamabad

A senior United States official has rejected claims that Washington agreed to unfreeze Iranian financial assets, as diplomatic efforts to address the ongoing conflict in the Middle East begin in Pakistan. The denial follows reports citing an unnamed Iranian source suggesting that the United States had consented to release funds held in foreign......

Iran says US agreed to unfreeze $6 billion as White House denies claim

Iran said the United States had agreed to release $6 billion in frozen assets held abroad, but the White House quickly denied the claim, underscoring deep mistrust as high-stakes talks opened in Islamabad. According to Iranian officials cited by Reuters, the funds are held in accounts in Qatar and other foreign banks. One source said the......

Iran admits it cannot locate all mines in Strait of Hormuz

Iran has acknowledged it cannot locate or remove all naval mines laid in the Strait of Hormuz during its conflict with the United States, U.S. officials said Friday. The admission adds a major risk to an already fragile ceasefire and to high-stakes talks scheduled in Islamabad. The disclosure, first reported by The New York Times, undermines......

JPMorgan bullish S&P 500 call tested as Iran ceasefire wavers

JPMorgan adopted a tactical bullish stance on U.S. equities this week after a two-week ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran, forecasting a potential 6 percent rally in the S&P 500 as market sentiment improves. The outlook followed a strong market rebound on April 8. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose about 1,325 points,......

US Vice President Jd Vance visits Pakistan for talks with Iran

U.S. Vice President JD Vance arrived in Islamabad to lead a high-level delegation in sensitive negotiations with Iranian officials, as efforts intensify to end weeks of conflict in the Middle East. The talks, hosted by Pakistan, come amid deep mistrust between United States and Iran. Pakistani authorities have taken extensive security measures......

US and Iran hold Islamabad talks as Hormuz Strait remains disrupted

Delegations from the United States and Iran are meeting in Islamabad as a fragile two week ceasefire fails to restore normal shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, where more than 800 vessels remain stranded. The truce, brokered by Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and announced by Donald Trump, triggered a sharp rally in global markets......

Bitcoin tops $72,000 ahead of US-Iran talks and CPI data

Bitcoin crossed $72,000 Friday, fueled by cautious optimism over upcoming US-Iran ceasefire talks and anticipation of a key inflation report later in the day. The top cryptocurrency rose 1.6% to around $72,159 early session, positioning for a roughly 7.3% weekly gain as risk appetite improved to support digital assets. The rally followed......

Goldman Sachs warns Brent could top $100 if Hormuz stays closed

Goldman Sachs warned Thursday that Brent crude could average above $100 a barrel through 2026 if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed to normal tanker traffic for another month. The note highlights fragility in the recent US-Iran ceasefire. "The situation remains uncertain," analysts including Daan Struyven wrote after the two-week......

Asian markets waver as Israeli strikes test US-Iran ceasefire before Islamabad talks

Global markets posted broad gains Friday as investors showed cautious optimism ahead of high-stakes US-Iran peace talks set to begin Saturday in Islamabad, Pakistan. The rebound remains fragile. Israeli strikes in Lebanon threaten to shatter the two-week truce, and the Strait of Hormuz stays largely closed to maritime trade. The ceasefire......

Middle East war splits energy markets into winners and losers

A six-week conflict involving the United States, Israel, and Iran has triggered Asia's worst energy crisis in decades, with surging fuel prices, severe LPG shortages, and widespread economic fallout. A fragile two-week ceasefire announced April 7 offers only tentative relief. Wood Mackenzie's April 6 analysis shows Asia's spot......

Dow Jones surges over 1,300 points on US-Iran ceasefire

U.S. stock markets posted sharp gains Wednesday, their strongest session in a year, after the United States and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire. The truce raised hopes of easing an oil shortage that had stalled the economy. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 1,325 points, or 2.85 percent. The S&P 500 rose 2.5 percent, and the......

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