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Ukraine intensifies drone campaign with new strike on Russia’s Ryazan oil refinery
Ukraine carried out another targeted drone attack against Russia’s Ryazan oil refinery overnight, intensifying its ongoing strategy to weaken Moscow’s energy production network. The strike, the ninth of this year on the facility, triggered explosions and a fire at what is considered one of Russia’s key refineries.
Local authorities in Ryazan reported a blaze at an “industrial site,” without explicitly naming the refinery. However, Телеграм-канал "Астра" and other independent media sources stated that Ukrainian drones hit a processing unit within the refinery, damaging equipment and several nearby vehicles. No casualties were reported, though debris was said to have struck a residential building.
Strategic target in Ukraine’s energy campaign
The Ryazan Oil Refinery, operated by «Роснефть», ranks among Russia’s largest, processing over 260,000 barrels of oil per day and supplying a significant share of aviation fuel to the Russian military. The facility’s proximity to Moscow located about 180 kilometers southeast has made it a high-value objective in Ukraine’s broader campaign targeting the infrastructure sustaining Russia’s war economy.
Since early 2025, Kyiv’s drone program has focused on refineries and fuel depots deep inside Russian territory. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy described the strikes as “the most effective sanctions,” asserting they have eroded a large portion of Russia’s refining capacity. Analysts estimate the cumulative impact to be between 10 and 17 percent of Russia’s total capacity, a figure that has gradually strained domestic fuel distribution.
Limited but mounting economic consequences
Although Moscow has managed to maintain much of its refining output through quick repairs and rerouting oil to unaffected plants, the steady wave of Ukrainian attacks is beginning to show deeper economic effects. Market analysts report that Russia’s daily refining volume has fallen from about 5.4 million barrels in midyear to around 5 million by autumn. Fuel shortages have since spread across more than 20 regions, including Сахалин and Крым, prompting fuel rationing measures and extended gasoline export restrictions into 2026.
The Russian finance ministry has acknowledged inflationary pressures within the fuel sector, with gasoline prices increasing by more than 10 percent this year. For Kyiv, the Ryazan strike represents not only another symbolic victory but also a tangible step toward undermining Russia’s energy resilience as the war drags on.
