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Global Perspectives on the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election: Who Do World Leaders Favor?
As the United States gears up for its presidential election on November 5, the contest between Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris and former Republican President Donald Trump is drawing significant international attention. Polls indicate a neck-and-neck race, prompting speculation about which candidate might be preferred by world leaders.
Vladimir Putin's Preference
Russian President Vladimir Putin has made ambiguous comments regarding his preference, suggesting he might favor Harris while many analysts believe he actually supports Trump. Timothy Ash from Chatham House argues that Putin sees Trump as someone who could ease sanctions and reduce military support for Ukraine, reflecting a shared authoritarian mindset. Historically, Putin has admired Trump, perceiving him as a figure who could further sow discord within Western alliances like NATO.
Xi Jinping's Neutral Stance
Chinese President Xi Jinping has not publicly endorsed either candidate. Trump's administration initiated a trade war with China, leading to strained relations, while Biden has maintained a tough stance. Interestingly, some experts suggest that behind closed doors, Chinese officials may lean towards Harris due to her more predictable diplomatic style.
Netanyahu's Leanings
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has not formally endorsed a candidate but is thought to favor Trump based on their previous strong relationship. During Trump's presidency, Netanyahu referred to him as Israel's best ally, although their rapport has cooled since Biden took office.
European Leaders' Preferences
A majority of European leaders appear to prefer Harris over Trump. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz expressed confidence in Harris's capabilities, while Trump's past threats to withdraw from NATO have raised concerns among European allies regarding future cooperation on defense and energy initiatives.
India's Neutrality
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is seen as neutral in his preference between the two candidates. Both candidates are expected to support strengthening U.S.-India relations, particularly in defense and technology.
Concerns in South Korea and Japan
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol has not publicly declared a preference but has benefited from Biden’s administration. In contrast, a potential Trump presidency raises concerns about reduced collaboration. Similarly, Japanese officials worry that a Trump victory could lead to a shift in focus towards domestic policy at the expense of international cooperation.
Australia's Apprehensions
In Australia, there are concerns that a Trump victory could lead to withdrawal from international climate agreements and exacerbate trade tensions with China.
As the election date approaches, it is clear that global leaders are carefully considering their preferences, recognizing that the outcome will have profound implications for international relations and global policies across various sectors.
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